Crawley Town 1-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Feb 2024

Crawley Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Walsall
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Crawley Town vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.96
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.96
X/2
12%
5.16
X/X
13%
4.91
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.24
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.27/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.22
+13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.7 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Crawley Town vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Walsall
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 241
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
29.04.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
19.11.2022 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
18.04.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
07.12.2021 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
16.03.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2

Crawley Town 1-1 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
1-1
AWAY Walsall
0.91 xG 1.60
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
428 Passes 142
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
30 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town and Walsall couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 69% of the ball to Walsall's 31%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.91 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crawley Town and 0.83 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Walsall?

Crawley Town 1-1 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 36%, draw 27%, Walsall 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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