Tranmere Rovers 2-3 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Feb 2024

Tranmere Rovers
2-3 HT 2-1
Morecambe
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Tranmere Rovers vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.76
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
9%
6.9
X/X
16%
4.72
2/1
8%
24.6
2/2
17%
5.03
2/X
4%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tranmere Rovers v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.05/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.55
+6% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 66%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.4 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Tranmere Rovers vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Morecambe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.61
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
372 Passes 148
76% Pass Accuracy 55%
23 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
23.05.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
20.05.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 1-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
30.01.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
31.10.2020 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
26.12.2018 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-1 HT 3-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2

Tranmere Rovers 2-3 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2-3
AWAY Morecambe
1.98 xG 2.18
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 10
231 Passes 310
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe squeezed past Tranmere Rovers 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Morecambe found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 44% of the ball to Morecambe's 56%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.98 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.00 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Morecambe?

Tranmere Rovers 2-3 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 40%, draw 27%, Morecambe 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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