Sırbistan U19 6-5 Portekiz U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies Ülkeler - U19 Women's, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 25% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+10.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz U19 EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan U19
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Portekiz U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 4-1 HT 2-0 Sırbistan U19 Sırbistan U19 U19
28.07.2014 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 0-0 HT 0-0 Sırbistan U19 Sırbistan U19 U19
29.07.2013 Sırbistan U19 Sırbistan U19 2-2 HT 1-0 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan U19
6-5
AWAY Portekiz U19
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 23
10 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sırbistan U19 vs Portekiz U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sırbistan U19 nicked a narrow win over Portekiz U19 6-5. Half-time: 4-2. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Portekiz U19 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sırbistan U19 had 43% of the ball to Portekiz U19's 57%, shots finished 14-23.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Portekiz U19 led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sırbistan U19 and 2.00 for Portekiz U19.

What was the final score of Sırbistan U19 vs Portekiz U19?

Sırbistan U19 6-5 Portekiz U19 in the Friendlies Ülkeler - U19 Women's on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan U19 vs Portekiz U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan U19 32%, draw 21%, Portekiz U19 47%. The final score 6-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz U19) ✗ Under 2.5
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