Azerbaycan U21 1-1 Bulgaristan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 9 Sep 2025

Azerbaycan U21
1-1 HT 1-1
Bulgaristan U21
📅09/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
European U21 – 2027

Azerbaycan U21 vs Bulgaristan U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Azerbaycan U21 v Bulgaristan U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azerbaycan U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.30/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.19
-74% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Azerbaycan U21 1-1 Bulgaristan U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azerbaycan U21
1-1
AWAY Bulgaristan U21
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Azerbaycan U21 vs Bulgaristan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azerbaycan U21 and Bulgaristan U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bulgaristan U21 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Azerbaycan U21 had 46% of the ball to Bulgaristan U21's 54%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Azerbaycan U21 vs Bulgaristan U21?

Azerbaycan U21 1-1 Bulgaristan U21 in the European U21 on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azerbaycan U21 vs Bulgaristan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bulgaristan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan U21 21%, draw 27%, Bulgaristan U21 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bulgaristan U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bulgaristan U21) ✓ BTTS Yes
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