Litvanya U21 1-1 Macaristan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
59%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Macaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
0.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.92
-89% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -50%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya U21
1-1
AWAY Macaristan U21
1.58 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
308 Passes 419
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Litvanya U21 vs Macaristan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Litvanya U21 and Macaristan U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Macaristan U21 at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Litvanya U21 had 44% of the ball to Macaristan U21's 56%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.58 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Litvanya U21 vs Macaristan U21?

Litvanya U21 1-1 Macaristan U21 in the European U21 on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya U21 vs Macaristan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macaristan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Litvanya U21 19%, draw 22%, Macaristan U21 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macaristan U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macaristan U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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