Hammarby (K) 2-0 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.43
Over
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
48%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Hammarby (K) win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-16.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
487 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
Crosses 7.1
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby (K)
2-0
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
1.79 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
411 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby (K) got the better of St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hammarby (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hammarby (K) had 59% of the ball to St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)'s 41%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.79 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Hammarby (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Hammarby (K) 2-0 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hammarby (K) 55%, draw 22%, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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