09/10/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Çayelispor vs Yalova FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
23%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Çayelispor v Yalova FK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Çayelispor
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Yalova FK
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
310 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Çayelispor vs Yalova FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Yalova FK beat Çayelispor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Çayelispor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Çayelispor vs Yalova FK?
Çayelispor 0-2 Yalova FK in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Çayelispor vs Yalova FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Çayelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Çayelispor 43%, draw 23%, Yalova FK 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Çayelispor) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Çayelispor)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TÜK
More Turkey - Cup
9 Oct 2024