Ankara Demirspor 1-1 Mazıdağı Fosfat SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No Pick
51%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.6pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazıdağı Fosfat SK EU Bookmakers 20%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.79/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-64% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +100%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1-1
AWAY Mazıdağı Fosfat SK
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfat SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankara Demirspor and Mazıdağı Fosfat SK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ankara Demirspor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ankara Demirspor had 60% of the ball to Mazıdağı Fosfat SK's 40%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfat SK?

Ankara Demirspor 1-1 Mazıdağı Fosfat SK in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfat SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ankara Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 50%, draw 27%, Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) ✗ BTTS No
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