Bayburt Özel İdare Spor 2-0 Bergama Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.67
Over
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
37%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayburt Özel İdare Spor EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 26%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.89/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.00
+6% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayburt Özel İdare Spor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.10.2015 Bayburt Özel İdare Spor Bayburt Özel İdare Spor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayburt Özel İdare Spor
2-0
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayburt Özel İdare Spor vs Bergama Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayburt Özel İdare Spor got the better of Bergama Belediyespor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayburt Özel İdare Spor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bayburt Özel İdare Spor had 70% of the ball to Bergama Belediyespor's 30%, shots finished 23-3.

What was the final score of Bayburt Özel İdare Spor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Bayburt Özel İdare Spor 2-0 Bergama Belediyespor in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayburt Özel İdare Spor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayburt Özel İdare Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bayburt Özel İdare Spor 55%, draw 26%, Bergama Belediyespor 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayburt Özel İdare Spor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayburt Özel İdare Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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