Etimesgut Spor 2-1 Şırnak Petrolspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+3.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etimesgut Spor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Şırnak Petrolspor EU Bookmakers 22%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.84/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Etimesgut Spor vs Şırnak Petrolspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etimesgut Spor nicked a narrow win over Şırnak Petrolspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Etimesgut Spor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Etimesgut Spor vs Şırnak Petrolspor?

Etimesgut Spor 2-1 Şırnak Petrolspor in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etimesgut Spor vs Şırnak Petrolspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etimesgut Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Etimesgut Spor 61%, draw 21%, Şırnak Petrolspor 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etimesgut Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etimesgut Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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