Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 0-4 Bursa Nilüfer FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.71
Over
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No Pick
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor
0-4
AWAY Bursa Nilüfer FK
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Bursa Nilüfer FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursa Nilüfer FK ran out comfortable winners over Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor had 53% of the ball to Bursa Nilüfer FK's 47%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Bursa Nilüfer FK?

Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 0-4 Bursa Nilüfer FK in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Bursa Nilüfer FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 42%, draw 26%, Bursa Nilüfer FK 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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