Muğlaspor 4-4 Sarıyer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muğlaspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.91
-32% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muğlaspor
4-4
AWAY Sarıyer
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muğlaspor and Sarıyer couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muğlaspor had 46% of the ball to Sarıyer's 54%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer?

Muğlaspor 4-4 Sarıyer in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muğlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Muğlaspor 36%, draw 28%, Sarıyer 36%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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