Niğde Belediyesi Spor 1-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
47%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.51
Over Pick
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
15%
+17.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
47%
Away Win
64%
-17.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niğde Belediyesi Spor EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niğde Belediyesi Spor
1-0
AWAY 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niğde Belediyesi Spor edged past 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was 68 Aksaray Belediyespor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Niğde Belediyesi Spor had 41% of the ball to 68 Aksaray Belediyespor's 59%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?

Niğde Belediyesi Spor 1-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Niğde Belediyesi Spor 33%, draw 21%, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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