Loudoun United 0-1 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.54/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.24
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.9 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.94 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
394 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
27.08.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-1 HT 0-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
07.05.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
26.09.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
13.03.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
19.08.2021 Loudoun United Loudoun United 4-1 HT 2-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
0-1
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.12 xG 1.07
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
432 Passes 166
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven edged past Loudoun United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Indy Eleven found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Loudoun United had 65% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 35%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.12 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Loudoun United and 1.17 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven?

Loudoun United 0-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 41%, draw 23%, Indy Eleven 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Loudoun United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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