Indy Eleven 1-1 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jul 2024

Indy Eleven
1-1 HT 0-0
Loudoun United
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
USL Championship – 2024

Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Indy Eleven v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
1.24/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.54
-32% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.9 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Loudoun United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 Passes 379
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-1 HT 0-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
07.05.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
26.09.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
13.03.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
19.08.2021 Loudoun United Loudoun United 4-1 HT 2-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
21.07.2019 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP

Indy Eleven 1-1 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
1-1
AWAY Loudoun United
0.64 xG 1.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
327 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven and Loudoun United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 50% of the ball to Loudoun United's 50%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.64 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.17 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?

Indy Eleven 1-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 48%, draw 26%, Loudoun United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
14 Jul 2024
02:00 Miami FC vs Rhode Island Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Oakland Roots Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orange County SC Analysis →
02:30 Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs Analysis →
05:00 Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa Analysis →
06:00 Sacramento Republic vs North Carolina Analysis →