Miami FC 2-3 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.2pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.3 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
2-3
AWAY Rhode Island
1.09 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island squeezed past Miami FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Miami FC had 56% of the ball to Rhode Island's 44%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.09 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Miami FC 2-3 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 22%, draw 28%, Rhode Island 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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