Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
13%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.63/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.42
+1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.9 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
346 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
13.10.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
0-0
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.90 xG 0.70
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
391 Passes 214
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterey Bay and FC Tulsa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Monterey Bay at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 62% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 38%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.90 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.00 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa?

Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 42%, draw 30%, FC Tulsa 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monterey Bay) ✗ BTTS Yes
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