Sacramento Republic 0-0 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jul 2024

Sacramento Republic
0-0 HT 0-0
North Carolina
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Sacramento Republic vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sacramento Republic v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.60/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.92
+10% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.9 Crosses 14.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Sacramento Republic vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic and North Carolina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs North Carolina?

Sacramento Republic 0-0 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 40%, draw 26%, North Carolina 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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