Birmingham Legion 2-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.49/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.58
-15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.1 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Colorado Springs
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.36 xG 1.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
307 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
27.03.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-2 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
2-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
2.39 xG 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
366 Passes 359
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion squeezed past Colorado Springs 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Birmingham Legion as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 51% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 49%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 2.39 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Birmingham Legion and 2.00 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs?

Birmingham Legion 2-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 45%, draw 26%, Colorado Springs 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham Legion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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