FK Pardubice 2-0 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.5pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.96/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.50
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -45%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
190 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.1 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jablonec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
237 Passes 347
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
26.11.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
29.07.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
24.05.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
02.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
08.10.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
2-0
AWAY Jablonec
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 12
313 Passes 364
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice beat Jablonec 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jablonec at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 45% of the ball to Jablonec's 55%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.00 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Jablonec?

FK Pardubice 2-0 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 23%, draw 31%, Jablonec 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jablonec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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