Jablonec 3-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.41/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.28
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.9 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
29.07.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
24.05.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
02.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
08.10.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
03.04.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
3-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.20 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
347 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec swept aside FK Pardubice 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jablonec had 57% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 43%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.20 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jablonec and 0.83 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs FK Pardubice?

Jablonec 3-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 44%, draw 26%, FK Pardubice 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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