Bohemians 1905 1-3 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.48/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.61
-6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
225 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Karvina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.05 xG 2.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
161 Passes 372
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
11.11.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.05.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
03.04.2022 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
01.12.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.03.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
1-3
AWAY Karvina
1.06 xG 2.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 0
351 Passes 217
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina beat Bohemians 1905 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians 1905 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 60% of the ball to Karvina's 40%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.06 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.33 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Karvina?

Bohemians 1905 1-3 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 43%, draw 27%, Karvina 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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