FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 24% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.47/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.39
+2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.0 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 0.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
267 Passes 206
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
30.09.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 HT 0-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
01.04.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 5-1 HT 2-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
09.10.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-2 HT 2-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
02.04.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
30.10.2021 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
1-1
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.04 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
230 Passes 271
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fastav Zlin vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fastav Zlin and Ceske Budejovice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Fastav Zlin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Fastav Zlin had 47% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 53%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.04 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fastav Zlin had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Fastav Zlin and 1.33 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of FC Fastav Zlin vs Ceske Budejovice?

FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fastav Zlin vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fastav Zlin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Fastav Zlin 43%, draw 30%, Ceske Budejovice 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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