Basford United 3-4 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.16/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
-26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basford United
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Whitby Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
02.12.2023 Basford United Basford United 1-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Basford United Basford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town edged past Basford United 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Whitby Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Whitby Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Basford United and 1.25 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Whitby Town?

Basford United 3-4 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Basford United 35%, draw 26%, Whitby Town 39%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Whitby Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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