Stockton Town 1-2 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
35%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-15.7pp
34%
Draw
23%
+11.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
2.26/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.88
+22% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockton Town
1-2
AWAY Ashton United
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United edged past Stockton Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 25%) promised a tight game; Ashton United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stockton Town had 48% of the ball to Ashton United's 52%, shots finished 20-10.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Ashton United?

Stockton Town 1-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 40%, draw 34%, Ashton United 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockton Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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