Basingstoke Town 1-3 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.1
Over 2.5
66%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
44%
-9.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
56%
+9.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.71/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.39
-1% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Poole Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.02.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
14.10.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 4-2 HT 1-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town saw off Basingstoke Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Basingstoke Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Basingstoke Town and 1.00 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Poole Town?

Basingstoke Town 1-3 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 48%, draw 23%, Poole Town 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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