Chertsey Town 3-4 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.59
Over Pick
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
36%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.5pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine The Market 28%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.20
-46% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
3-4
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine edged past Chertsey Town 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chertsey Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 44% of the ball to Swindon Supermarine's 56%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Chertsey Town 3-4 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 53%, draw 19%, Swindon Supermarine 29%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chertsey Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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