Halesowen Town 3-1 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halesowen Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.29/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.62
-26% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halesowen Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 2-2 Halesowen Town Halesowen Town İNGNLP
14.10.2023 Halesowen Town Halesowen Town 4-1 HT 2-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Halesowen Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halesowen Town beat AFC Sudbury 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Halesowen Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Halesowen Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Halesowen Town and 1.50 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Halesowen Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Halesowen Town 3-1 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halesowen Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halesowen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Halesowen Town 44%, draw 27%, AFC Sudbury 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Halesowen Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Halesowen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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