Matlock Town 3-2 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.64/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.87
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matlock Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 1-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
15.04.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
26.11.2022 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 5-1 HT 2-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
22.01.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
25.09.2021 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-4 HT 1-2 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Matlock Town vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matlock Town edged past Bamber Bridge 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Matlock Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matlock Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Matlock Town and 1.67 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Bamber Bridge?

Matlock Town 3-2 Bamber Bridge in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matlock Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 44%, draw 27%, Bamber Bridge 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matlock Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Matlock Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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