Merthyr Town vs Havant & Waterlooville Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merthyr Town v Havant & Waterlooville — Team-Based Signals
Merthyr Town 5-1 Havant & Waterlooville — Actual Match Statistics
Merthyr Town swept aside Havant & Waterlooville 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Merthyr Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Merthyr Town had 53% of the ball to Havant & Waterlooville's 47%, shots finished 19-16.
What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Merthyr Town 5-1 Havant & Waterlooville in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 59%, draw 19%, Havant & Waterlooville 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.