Plymouth Parkway 5-0 Marlow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.38
Over
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Marlow The Market 32%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
2.03/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+17% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Marlow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway cruised past Marlow 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Plymouth Parkway as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Marlow?

Plymouth Parkway 5-0 Marlow in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Marlow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 49%, draw 25%, Marlow 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Parkway), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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