Östersunds FK 1-1 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 9 Nov 2024

Östersunds FK
1-1 HT 0-0
IK Brage
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östersunds FK vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.33
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.4
X/1
17%
3.9
X/2
11%
8.51
X/X
9%
4.9
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
8%
6.84
2/X
7%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.69/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.60
+0% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
454 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Östersunds FK vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY IK Brage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.05.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 2-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
27.09.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
31.05.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
03.08.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
15.05.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-3 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
10.08.2013 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK and IK Brage couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Östersunds FK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.33 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs IK Brage?

Östersunds FK 1-1 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 48%, draw 26%, IK Brage 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Östersunds FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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