Zürich II 3-2 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.1pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.67/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.73
-3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich II
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Bavois
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Zürich II Zürich II 0-4 HT 0-2 Bavois İSV1Y
18.10.2023 Bavois 4-1 HT 1-0 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
26.11.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 0-1 HT 0-1 Bavois İSV1Y
09.03.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 2-3 Bavois İSV1Y
26.09.2020 Zürich II Zürich II 0-1 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Zürich II vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich II squeezed past Bavois 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Zürich II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bavois led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Zürich II and 2.60 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Zürich II vs Bavois?

Zürich II 3-2 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich II vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zürich II 34%, draw 25%, Bavois 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bavois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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