Zürich II 0-4 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.33
Over 2.5
67%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
No
33%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
40%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
39%
-6.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
61%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
2.49/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.85
+26% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Bavois
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2023 Bavois 4-1 HT 1-0 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
26.11.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 0-1 HT 0-1 Bavois İSV1Y
09.03.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 2-3 Bavois İSV1Y
26.09.2020 Zürich II Zürich II 0-1 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Zürich II vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois cruised past Zürich II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bavois led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Zürich II and 2.25 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Zürich II vs Bavois?

Zürich II 0-4 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich II vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zürich II 45%, draw 24%, Bavois 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zürich II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zürich II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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