Basel II 4-1 Delemont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Delemont EU Bookmakers 52%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.83/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.39
+20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Basel II vs Delemont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel II swept aside Delemont 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Delemont at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Basel II vs Delemont?

Basel II 4-1 Delemont in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel II vs Delemont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Delemont win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Basel II 27%, draw 31%, Delemont 42%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Delemont) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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