Breitenrain 0-1 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+10.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breitenrain EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 57%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.57/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.06
+9% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +43%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breitenrain
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 0-1 Breitenrain İSV1Y
18.03.2023 Breitenrain 2-2 HT 1-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
09.09.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-0 HT 1-0 Breitenrain İSV1Y
06.11.2021 Breitenrain 2-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Breitenrain vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge edged past Breitenrain 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Breitenrain and 1.75 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Breitenrain vs Etoile Carouge?

Breitenrain 0-1 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breitenrain vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Breitenrain 32%, draw 25%, Etoile Carouge 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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