Badalona (K) 1-3 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.91
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
14%
+19.4pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.2pp
33%
Away Win
67%
-33.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.24/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.49
-3% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +70%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
9.0 Crosses 18.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
1-3
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.16 xG 1.06
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
193 Passes 394
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) got the better of Badalona (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 37% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 63%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.16 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Badalona (K) 1-3 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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