Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
53%
-19.7pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.8pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.77/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.42
+36% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -59%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
16.2 Crosses 17.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.49 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
265 Passes 275
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 3-3 HT 2-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
2-1
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.11 xG 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 255
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) edged past Sevilla (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Madrid CFF (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 55% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.11 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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