Hoffenheim (K) 0-3 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
53%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.61
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.6pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-14.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.2pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
236 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.9
Crosses 30.5
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
15.03.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
22.10.2023 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 2-2 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
0-3
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
1.18 xG 2.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 420
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) swept aside Hoffenheim (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 43% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 57%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.18 to 2.58.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hoffenheim (K) and 1.50 for Wolfsburg (K).

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 0-3 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 20%, draw 27%, Wolfsburg (K) 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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