Freiburg II 3-0 Steinbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Steinbach EU Bookmakers 32%
+20% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
2.87/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.47
+70% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Steinbach
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-0 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
21.10.2020 Steinbach Steinbach 2-4 HT 0-2 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
07.03.2020 Steinbach Steinbach 2-1 HT 1-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Steinbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II swept aside Steinbach 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Freiburg II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Freiburg II and 1.33 for Steinbach.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Steinbach?

Freiburg II 3-0 Steinbach in the Germany - Regional League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Steinbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 43%, draw 27%, Steinbach 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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