Hertha Berlin II 1-2 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +5%
1.21/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.07
-18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
28.07.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 3-0 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.04.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 3-0 HT 3-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 4-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
19.02.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
22.08.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig squeezed past Hertha Berlin II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Chemie Leipzig made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 1.67 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Chemie Leipzig?

Hertha Berlin II 1-2 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 39%, draw 24%, Chemie Leipzig 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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