SGV Freiberg 1-0 FC Giessen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Nov 2024

SGV Freiberg
1-0 HT 1-0
FC Giessen
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

SGV Freiberg vs FC Giessen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SGV Freiberg v FC Giessen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Giessen EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.49
-16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs FC Giessen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg edged past FC Giessen 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SGV Freiberg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs FC Giessen?

SGV Freiberg 1-0 FC Giessen in the Germany - Regional League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs FC Giessen?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 45%, draw 24%, FC Giessen 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
9 Nov 2024
15:00 Altglienicke vs VFC Plauen Analysis →
15:00 Hertha Berlin II vs Chemie Leipzig Analysis →
15:00 Eilenburg vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
15:30 Weiche Flensburg vs Meppen Analysis →
16:00 Kickers Offenbach vs Göppinger SV Analysis →
16:00 Bahlinger SC vs Homburg Analysis →