Chemie Leipzig 3-0 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -21%
1.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.24
-8% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 3-0 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.04.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 3-0 HT 3-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 4-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
19.02.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
22.08.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
29.08.2020 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemie Leipzig
3-0
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig swept aside Hertha Berlin II 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chemie Leipzig found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chemie Leipzig had 38% of the ball to Hertha Berlin II's 62%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.67 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II?

Chemie Leipzig 3-0 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 31%, draw 30%, Hertha Berlin II 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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