Illertissen 3-1 Memmingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Memmingen EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.32/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.30
+8% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Memmingen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Memmingen Memmingen 1-4 HT 0-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
20.11.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-1 HT 1-1 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
30.07.2021 Memmingen Memmingen 2-2 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
31.10.2019 Memmingen Memmingen 1-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
21.07.2015 Memmingen Memmingen 4-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
15.11.2014 Illertissen Illertissen 1-1 HT 0-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Memmingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen saw off Memmingen 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Illertissen and 1.67 for Memmingen.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Memmingen?

Illertissen 3-1 Memmingen in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Memmingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 51%, draw 22%, Memmingen 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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