BFC Dynamo 3-2 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.53
No
55%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
61%
-16.0pp
55%
BTTS No
39%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.49/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.88
-13% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +81%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Dynamo
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Altglienicke
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 3-1 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
15.05.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-4 HT 1-2 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
26.11.2021 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-0 HT 1-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
21.02.2020 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-2 HT 1-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Dynamo
3-2
AWAY Altglienicke
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BFC Dynamo vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Dynamo edged past Altglienicke 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BFC Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BFC Dynamo had 45% of the ball to Altglienicke's 55%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, BFC Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFC Dynamo and 1.60 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of BFC Dynamo vs Altglienicke?

BFC Dynamo 3-2 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Dynamo vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFC Dynamo 43%, draw 26%, Altglienicke 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Dynamo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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