Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.58/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.01
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
253 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
19.0 Crosses 12.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.08 xG 2.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
309 Passes 274
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
09.12.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 5-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
27.10.2017 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
1-0
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.54 xG 0.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
301 Passes 176
70% Pass Accuracy 60%
13 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) nicked a narrow win over Sydney (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 60% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 40%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.54 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 2.75 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 27%, draw 28%, Sydney (K) 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
9 Nov 2024
06:15 Melbourne Victory (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Analysis →