Al Dhafra 1-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.42/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.68
-29% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.01.2024 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
09.09.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Dhafra
1-0
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra edged past Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Dhafra had 69% of the ball to Al Jazira Al Hamra's 31%, shots finished 10-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Dhafra and 1.50 for Al Jazira Al Hamra.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Al Dhafra 1-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 47%, draw 23%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE2 More UAE - 1st Division
9 Nov 2024
15:45 Masfut vs Hatta Dubai Analysis →
15:45 Al Fujairah vs Gulf United Analysis →