Al Dhafra 2-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.98/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.76
-13% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.09.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra and Al Jazira Al Hamra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Dhafra at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Al Dhafra 2-2 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 60%, draw 19%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Dhafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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