Gulf United 3-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-11.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.60
-8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +70%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gulf United
3-1
AWAY Arabi
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gulf United vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf United got the better of Arabi 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gulf United had 43% of the ball to Arabi's 57%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Gulf United vs Arabi?

Gulf United 3-1 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf United vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gulf United 25%, draw 24%, Arabi 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arabi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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