CRB 0-1 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Nov 2024

CRB
0-1 HT 0-0
Goias
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.25/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.16
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.0 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Goias
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
375 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
12.09.2021 CRB CRB 0-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR2
16.06.2021 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.02.2019 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BRK
20.10.2018 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
27.06.2018 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
0-1
AWAY Goias
0.85 xG 0.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
264 Passes 182
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 6
32 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CRB vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias nicked a narrow win over CRB 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Goias found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CRB had 58% of the ball to Goias's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.85 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CRB and 1.00 for Goias.

What was the final score of CRB vs Goias?

CRB 0-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CRB 40%, draw 28%, Goias 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CRB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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9 Nov 2024
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